English: The expected and observed probability of election of the candidate at the top of the ballot paper in Victorian Local Government General Elections. Candidates are grouped by the number standing for election in a Ward. The ranges plotted are the elections where there are 26 or more candidates through to elections where there are 2 or more candidates. The upper limit of all theses ranges is always 41 which was the election with the highest number of candidates standing in a Ward. For all elections where Candidates >= 2 to elections where candidates >= 24 the observed probability of election was alway greater than 3 sigma above the expected probability.